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Athabasca Oil Corporation
ATH.TOEnergyTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.31B | 18.7% | $245.02M | $520.18M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.44B | 18.7% | $269.03M | $571.15M | $519.23M |
| 2028 | $1.58B | 18.7% | $295.40M | $627.13M | $518.29M |
| 2029 | $1.73B | 18.7% | $324.35M | $688.59M | $517.34M |
| 2030 | $1.90B | 18.7% | $356.13M | $756.07M | $516.40M |
| 2031 | $2.09B | 18.7% | $391.03M | $830.16M | $515.46M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$0.49 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$0.038 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.3 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$0.545 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$0.338 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$0.237 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$0.169 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | CA$33.699 | CA$37.734 | CA$43.237 |
| 10.0% | CA$29.623 | CA$32.598 | CA$36.489 |
| 11.0% | CA$26.41 | CA$28.676 | CA$31.545 |