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Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
ASOConsumer CyclicalNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $6.05B | 6.2% | $375.31M | $223.98M | N/A |
| 2027 | $6.74B | 6.2% | $417.72M | $249.29M | $226.62M |
| 2028 | $7.50B | 6.2% | $464.92M | $277.45M | $229.30M |
| 2029 | $8.35B | 6.2% | $517.46M | $308.81M | $232.01M |
| 2030 | $9.29B | 6.2% | $575.93M | $343.70M | $234.75M |
| 2031 | $10.34B | 6.2% | $641.01M | $382.54M | $237.53M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $5.54 | 2026-01-31 |
| EPS growth | -3.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $4.612 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $44.737 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $27.778 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $19.445 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $13.889 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $42.303 | $50.154 | $60.859 |
| 10.0% | $34.381 | $40.169 | $47.738 |
| 11.0% | $28.138 | $32.545 | $38.127 |