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ASML Holding N.V.
ASMLTechnologyNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $32.67B | 29.4% | $9.60B | $10.65B | N/A |
| 2027 | $34.95B | 29.4% | $10.28B | $11.40B | $10.36B |
| 2028 | $37.40B | 29.4% | $11.00B | $12.19B | $10.08B |
| 2029 | $40.02B | 29.4% | $11.77B | $13.05B | $9.80B |
| 2030 | $42.82B | 29.4% | $12.59B | $13.96B | $9.53B |
| 2031 | $45.82B | 29.4% | $13.47B | $14.94B | $9.27B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $24.71 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +28.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $86.574 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 36.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $3,185.93 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1,978.21 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,384.75 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $989.11 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $892.79 | $993.53 | $1,130.89 |
| 10.0% | $790.83 | $865.09 | $962.21 |
| 11.0% | $710.41 | $766.96 | $838.59 |