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ARC Resources Ltd.
ARX.TOEnergyTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $6.08B | 21.0% | $1.28B | $1.26B | N/A |
| 2027 | $8.12B | 21.0% | $1.70B | $1.68B | $1.53B |
| 2028 | $10.84B | 21.0% | $2.28B | $2.24B | $1.86B |
| 2029 | $14.49B | 21.0% | $3.04B | $3.00B | $2.25B |
| 2030 | $19.36B | 21.0% | $4.06B | $4.01B | $2.74B |
| 2031 | $25.86B | 21.0% | $5.43B | $5.35B | $3.32B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$2.19 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +15.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$4.58 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 11.7 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$53.585 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$33.272 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$23.291 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$16.636 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | CA$116.44 | CA$133.12 | CA$155.86 |
| 10.0% | CA$99.806 | CA$112.10 | CA$128.18 |
| 11.0% | CA$86.728 | CA$96.089 | CA$107.95 |