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ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
ARRReal EstateNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.31B | 24.7% | $322.40M | $124.00M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.18B | 24.7% | $291.13M | $111.97M | $101.79M |
| 2028 | $1.06B | 24.7% | $262.89M | $101.11M | $83.56M |
| 2029 | $961.09M | 24.7% | $237.39M | $91.30M | $68.60M |
| 2030 | $867.86M | 24.7% | $214.36M | $82.45M | $56.31M |
| 2031 | $783.68M | 24.7% | $193.57M | $74.45M | $46.23M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $3.30 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $34.603 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 5.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $179.94 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $111.73 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $78.208 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $55.863 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$173.571 | -$172.458 | -$170.939 |
| 10.0% | -$174.719 | -$173.898 | -$172.824 |
| 11.0% | -$175.628 | -$175.002 | -$174.21 |