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Argonaut Gold Inc.
ARNGFBasic MaterialsOTCUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $379.29M | 10.1% | $38.31M | -$189.64M | N/A |
| 2027 | $366.01M | 10.1% | $36.97M | -$183.01M | -$166.37M |
| 2028 | $353.20M | 10.1% | $35.67M | -$176.60M | -$145.95M |
| 2029 | $340.84M | 10.1% | $34.42M | -$170.42M | -$128.04M |
| 2030 | $328.91M | 10.1% | $33.22M | -$164.46M | -$112.33M |
| 2031 | $317.40M | 10.1% | $32.06M | -$158.70M | -$98.54M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.044 | 2023-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.466 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8 | P/E |
| Future price | $3.725 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $2.313 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1.619 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.156 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$2.785 | -$3.064 | -$3.445 |
| 10.0% | -$2.50 | -$2.706 | -$2.975 |
| 11.0% | -$2.275 | -$2.431 | -$2.63 |