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Aris Mining Corporation
ARMNBasic MaterialsAMEXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $927.66M | 8.4% | $77.92M | $128.95M | N/A |
| 2027 | $846.96M | 8.4% | $71.14M | $117.73M | $107.02M |
| 2028 | $773.27M | 8.4% | $64.95M | $107.48M | $88.83M |
| 2029 | $706.00M | 8.4% | $59.30M | $98.13M | $73.73M |
| 2030 | $644.58M | 8.4% | $54.14M | $89.60M | $61.20M |
| 2031 | $588.50M | 8.4% | $49.43M | $81.80M | $50.79M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.41 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $4.299 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 39.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $168.10 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $104.38 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $73.063 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $52.188 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $6.137 | $6.884 | $7.902 |
| 10.0% | $5.368 | $5.919 | $6.639 |
| 11.0% | $4.76 | $5.179 | $5.71 |