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Aristocrat Leisure Limited
ARLUFConsumer CyclicalOTCAU
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $6.30B | 26.0% | $1.64B | $1.47B | N/A |
| 2027 | $6.66B | 26.0% | $1.73B | $1.56B | $1.42B |
| 2028 | $7.05B | 26.0% | $1.83B | $1.65B | $1.36B |
| 2029 | $7.46B | 26.0% | $1.94B | $1.75B | $1.31B |
| 2030 | $7.89B | 26.0% | $2.05B | $1.85B | $1.26B |
| 2031 | $8.35B | 26.0% | $2.17B | $1.95B | $1.21B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.28 | 2025-09-30 |
| EPS growth | +28.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $8.113 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 26.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $211.76 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $131.49 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $92.04 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $65.743 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $18.303 | $20.544 | $23.599 |
| 10.0% | $16.033 | $17.685 | $19.845 |
| 11.0% | $14.242 | $15.50 | $17.093 |