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Aecon Group Inc.
ARE.TOIndustrialsTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5.43B | 1.0% | $54.35M | $59.78M | N/A |
| 2027 | $5.71B | 1.0% | $57.12M | $62.83M | $57.12M |
| 2028 | $6.00B | 1.0% | $60.03M | $66.03M | $54.57M |
| 2029 | $6.31B | 1.0% | $63.09M | $69.40M | $52.14M |
| 2030 | $6.63B | 1.0% | $66.31M | $72.94M | $49.82M |
| 2031 | $6.97B | 1.0% | $69.69M | $76.66M | $47.60M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$0.23 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$2.412 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 130.2 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$314.01 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$194.97 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$136.48 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$97.487 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | CA$19.056 | CA$21.62 | CA$25.116 |
| 10.0% | CA$16.456 | CA$18.347 | CA$20.819 |
| 11.0% | CA$14.406 | CA$15.845 | CA$17.668 |