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Blue Apron Holdings, Inc.
APRNConsumer CyclicalNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $458.47M | 1.0% | $4.58M | -$98.11M | N/A |
| 2027 | $527.70M | 1.0% | $5.28M | -$112.93M | -$102.66M |
| 2028 | $607.38M | 1.0% | $6.07M | -$129.98M | -$107.42M |
| 2029 | $699.09M | 1.0% | $6.99M | -$149.61M | -$112.40M |
| 2030 | $804.65M | 1.0% | $8.05M | -$172.20M | -$117.61M |
| 2031 | $926.16M | 1.0% | $9.26M | -$198.20M | -$123.07M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$36.23 | 2022-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +23.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$1,011.591 | -$1,135.624 | -$1,304.761 |
| 10.0% | -$886.738 | -$978.184 | -$1,097.768 |
| 11.0% | -$788.401 | -$858.029 | -$946.225 |