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AutoNation, Inc.
ANConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $27.63B | 2.3% | $635.52M | -$193.42M | N/A |
| 2027 | $27.96B | 2.3% | $643.15M | -$195.74M | -$177.95M |
| 2028 | $28.30B | 2.3% | $650.87M | -$198.09M | -$163.71M |
| 2029 | $28.64B | 2.3% | $658.68M | -$200.47M | -$150.61M |
| 2030 | $28.98B | 2.3% | $666.58M | -$202.87M | -$138.56M |
| 2031 | $29.33B | 2.3% | $674.58M | -$205.31M | -$127.48M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $17.04 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +1.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $17.909 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $216.70 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $134.55 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $94.188 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $67.277 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$303.279 | -$310.398 | -$320.106 |
| 10.0% | -$296.036 | -$301.285 | -$308.149 |
| 11.0% | -$290.318 | -$294.315 | -$299.377 |