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Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZNConsumer CyclicalNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $716.92B | 10.8% | $77.43B | $7.89B | N/A |
| 2027 | $810.84B | 10.8% | $87.57B | $8.92B | $8.11B |
| 2028 | $917.06B | 10.8% | $99.04B | $10.09B | $8.34B |
| 2029 | $1.04T | 10.8% | $112.02B | $11.41B | $8.57B |
| 2030 | $1.17T | 10.8% | $126.69B | $12.90B | $8.81B |
| 2031 | $1.33T | 10.8% | $143.29B | $14.59B | $9.06B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $7.17 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +28.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $25.415 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 31.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $805.67 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $500.26 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $350.18 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $250.13 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $14.256 | $16.377 | $19.27 |
| 10.0% | $12.118 | $13.682 | $15.727 |
| 11.0% | $10.433 | $11.624 | $13.133 |