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Arcadium Lithium plc
ALTMBasic MaterialsNYSEIE
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.01B | 10.2% | $102.80M | -$176.37M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.20B | 10.2% | $122.12M | -$209.52M | -$190.47M |
| 2028 | $1.42B | 10.2% | $145.08M | -$248.91M | -$205.71M |
| 2029 | $1.69B | 10.2% | $172.35M | -$295.71M | -$222.17M |
| 2030 | $2.01B | 10.2% | $204.76M | -$351.30M | -$239.94M |
| 2031 | $2.38B | 10.2% | $243.25M | -$417.34M | -$259.14M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.091 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.007 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 53.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $0.375 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $0.233 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.163 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.116 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$6.103 | -$6.748 | -$7.628 |
| 10.0% | -$5.455 | -$5.931 | -$6.553 |
| 11.0% | -$4.944 | -$5.307 | -$5.766 |