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Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
ALRMTechnologyNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.01B | 13.1% | $132.47M | $137.52M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.05B | 13.1% | $137.10M | $142.33M | $129.40M |
| 2028 | $1.08B | 13.1% | $141.90M | $147.32M | $121.75M |
| 2029 | $1.12B | 13.1% | $146.87M | $152.47M | $114.55M |
| 2030 | $1.16B | 13.1% | $152.01M | $157.81M | $107.79M |
| 2031 | $1.20B | 13.1% | $157.33M | $163.33M | $101.42M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.46 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +6.4% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $3.355 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 19.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $64.409 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $39.993 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $27.995 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $19.996 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $33.113 | $37.352 | $43.132 |
| 10.0% | $28.81 | $31.935 | $36.022 |
| 11.0% | $25.414 | $27.794 | $30.808 |