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Alaska Air Group, Inc.
ALKIndustrialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $14.24B | 1.0% | $142.39M | -$341.74M | N/A |
| 2027 | $15.11B | 1.0% | $151.08M | -$362.58M | -$329.62M |
| 2028 | $16.03B | 1.0% | $160.29M | -$384.70M | -$317.93M |
| 2029 | $17.01B | 1.0% | $170.07M | -$408.17M | -$306.66M |
| 2030 | $18.04B | 1.0% | $180.44M | -$433.06M | -$295.79M |
| 2031 | $19.15B | 1.0% | $191.45M | -$459.48M | -$285.30M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.87 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.068 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 58.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $3.931 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $2.441 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1.708 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.22 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$76.547 | -$81.467 | -$88.176 |
| 10.0% | -$71.563 | -$75.19 | -$79.934 |
| 11.0% | -$67.632 | -$70.394 | -$73.892 |