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Algoma Central Corporation
ALC.TOIndustrialsTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $761.06M | 18.8% | $143.08M | -$124.05M | N/A |
| 2027 | $788.45M | 18.8% | $148.23M | -$128.52M | -$116.83M |
| 2028 | $816.84M | 18.8% | $153.57M | -$133.14M | -$110.04M |
| 2029 | $846.24M | 18.8% | $159.09M | -$137.94M | -$103.63M |
| 2030 | $876.71M | 18.8% | $164.82M | -$142.90M | -$97.61M |
| 2031 | $908.27M | 18.8% | $170.75M | -$148.05M | -$91.93M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$3.53 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +54.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$30.675 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 5.4 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$165.65 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$102.85 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$71.997 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$51.427 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -CA$66.706 | -CA$72.851 | -CA$81.231 |
| 10.0% | -CA$60.468 | -CA$64.999 | -CA$70.923 |
| 11.0% | -CA$55.546 | -CA$58.995 | -CA$63.365 |