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Air Lease Corporation
ALIndustrialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3.02B | 36.1% | $1.09B | -$1.51B | N/A |
| 2027 | $3.20B | 36.1% | $1.16B | -$1.60B | -$1.45B |
| 2028 | $3.39B | 36.1% | $1.23B | -$1.70B | -$1.40B |
| 2029 | $3.60B | 36.1% | $1.30B | -$1.80B | -$1.35B |
| 2030 | $3.82B | 36.1% | $1.38B | -$1.91B | -$1.31B |
| 2031 | $4.05B | 36.1% | $1.46B | -$2.03B | -$1.26B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $9.29 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $97.413 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 6.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $642.92 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $399.21 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $279.44 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $199.60 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$399.088 | -$425.777 | -$462.172 |
| 10.0% | -$372.052 | -$391.73 | -$417.461 |
| 11.0% | -$350.728 | -$365.71 | -$384.688 |