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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
AJGFinancial ServicesNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $13.94B | 10.7% | $1.49B | $1.78B | N/A |
| 2027 | $15.31B | 10.7% | $1.64B | $1.96B | $1.78B |
| 2028 | $16.81B | 10.7% | $1.80B | $2.15B | $1.78B |
| 2029 | $18.46B | 10.7% | $1.97B | $2.36B | $1.77B |
| 2030 | $20.26B | 10.7% | $2.17B | $2.59B | $1.77B |
| 2031 | $22.25B | 10.7% | $2.38B | $2.85B | $1.77B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $5.75 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -12.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $3.017 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 45.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $136.08 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $84.494 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $59.146 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $42.247 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $69.189 | $82.466 | $100.57 |
| 10.0% | $55.777 | $65.566 | $78.367 |
| 11.0% | $45.206 | $52.659 | $62.10 |