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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $189.05B | 11.9% | $22.50B | -$94.53B | N/A |
| 2027 | $202.47B | 11.9% | $24.09B | -$101.24B | -$92.03B |
| 2028 | $216.85B | 11.9% | $25.80B | -$108.42B | -$89.61B |
| 2029 | $232.24B | 11.9% | $27.64B | -$116.12B | -$87.24B |
| 2030 | $248.73B | 11.9% | $29.60B | -$124.37B | -$84.94B |
| 2031 | $266.39B | 11.9% | $31.70B | -$133.20B | -$82.70B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $23.46 | 2025-03-31 |
| EPS growth | +4.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $28.543 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 6.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $174.11 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $108.11 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $75.676 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $54.054 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$24.014 | -$25.996 | -$28.698 |
| 10.0% | -$22.009 | -$23.47 | -$25.38 |
| 11.0% | -$20.427 | -$21.539 | -$22.948 |