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Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited
AHL-PDFinancial ServicesNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3.20B | 15.2% | $485.99M | $537.15M | N/A |
| 2027 | $3.31B | 15.2% | $503.00M | $555.95M | $505.41M |
| 2028 | $3.43B | 15.2% | $520.60M | $575.40M | $475.54M |
| 2029 | $3.54B | 15.2% | $538.83M | $595.54M | $447.44M |
| 2030 | $3.67B | 15.2% | $557.68M | $616.39M | $421.00M |
| 2031 | $3.80B | 15.2% | $577.20M | $637.96M | $396.12M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $4.75 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.369 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 6.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $2.253 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1.399 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.979 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.699 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $89.244 | $95.402 | $103.80 |
| 10.0% | $82.992 | $87.532 | $93.47 |
| 11.0% | $78.058 | $81.515 | $85.894 |