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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $8.31B | 9.5% | $789.36M | -$2.05B | N/A |
| 2027 | $7.68B | 9.5% | $729.36M | -$1.90B | -$1.72B |
| 2028 | $7.09B | 9.5% | $673.93M | -$1.75B | -$1.45B |
| 2029 | $6.55B | 9.5% | $622.71M | -$1.62B | -$1.22B |
| 2030 | $6.06B | 9.5% | $575.39M | -$1.50B | -$1.02B |
| 2031 | $5.60B | 9.5% | $531.66M | -$1.38B | -$858.31M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.03 | 2023-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -11.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $1.134 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 15.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $18.024 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $11.191 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $7.834 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $5.596 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$88.177 | -$93.949 | -$101.819 |
| 10.0% | -$82.248 | -$86.503 | -$92.067 |
| 11.0% | -$77.556 | -$80.796 | -$84.90 |