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Assured Guaranty Ltd.
AGOFinancial ServicesNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $788.00M | 63.8% | $502.74M | $259.25M | N/A |
| 2027 | $998.40M | 63.8% | $636.98M | $328.47M | $298.61M |
| 2028 | $1.26B | 63.8% | $807.05M | $416.17M | $343.95M |
| 2029 | $1.60B | 63.8% | $1.02B | $527.29M | $396.16M |
| 2030 | $2.03B | 63.8% | $1.30B | $668.08M | $456.31M |
| 2031 | $2.57B | 63.8% | $1.64B | $846.46M | $525.58M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $10.18 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +46.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $69.403 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $603.81 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $374.92 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $262.44 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $187.46 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $176.39 | $197.54 | $226.38 |
| 10.0% | $155.22 | $170.82 | $191.21 |
| 11.0% | $138.58 | $150.45 | $165.49 |