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The AES Corporation
AESUtilitiesNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $12.23B | 7.8% | $954.17M | -$1.63B | N/A |
| 2027 | $12.69B | 7.8% | $989.48M | -$1.69B | -$1.53B |
| 2028 | $13.15B | 7.8% | $1.03B | -$1.75B | -$1.45B |
| 2029 | $13.64B | 7.8% | $1.06B | -$1.81B | -$1.36B |
| 2030 | $14.15B | 7.8% | $1.10B | -$1.88B | -$1.29B |
| 2031 | $14.67B | 7.8% | $1.14B | -$1.95B | -$1.21B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.26 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.098 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 10.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $1.058 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $0.657 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.46 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.329 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$75.093 | -$79.167 | -$84.722 |
| 10.0% | -$70.958 | -$73.962 | -$77.89 |
| 11.0% | -$67.695 | -$69.982 | -$72.879 |