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American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
AEOConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5.50B | 3.5% | $192.39M | $456.24M | N/A |
| 2027 | $5.71B | 3.5% | $199.70M | $473.57M | $430.52M |
| 2028 | $5.92B | 3.5% | $207.29M | $491.57M | $406.25M |
| 2029 | $6.15B | 3.5% | $215.16M | $510.25M | $383.36M |
| 2030 | $6.38B | 3.5% | $223.34M | $529.64M | $361.75M |
| 2031 | $6.62B | 3.5% | $231.83M | $549.76M | $341.36M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.09 | 2026-01-31 |
| EPS growth | -34.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.131 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 20.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $2.746 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1.705 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1.194 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.853 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $21.778 | $25.05 | $29.513 |
| 10.0% | $18.456 | $20.869 | $24.024 |
| 11.0% | $15.835 | $17.672 | $19.999 |