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Acadian Timber Corp.
ADN.TOBasic MaterialsTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $86.96M | 56.3% | $48.96M | $3.65M | N/A |
| 2027 | $72.61M | 56.3% | $40.88M | $3.05M | $2.77M |
| 2028 | $60.63M | 56.3% | $34.13M | $2.55M | $2.10M |
| 2029 | $50.62M | 56.3% | $28.50M | $2.13M | $1.60M |
| 2030 | $42.27M | 56.3% | $23.80M | $1.78M | $1.21M |
| 2031 | $35.30M | 56.3% | $19.87M | $1.48M | $920.5K |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$2.70 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$28.312 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 5.9 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$167.04 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$103.72 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$72.602 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$51.859 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -CA$5.063 | -CA$4.933 | -CA$4.756 |
| 10.0% | -CA$5.198 | -CA$5.103 | -CA$4.977 |
| 11.0% | -CA$5.305 | -CA$5.233 | -CA$5.14 |