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American Defense Systems, Inc.
ADFSIndustrialsOTCUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $8.70M | 107.6% | $9.36M | -$1.71M | N/A |
| 2027 | $9.57M | 107.6% | $10.30M | -$1.88M | -$1.71M |
| 2028 | $10.53M | 107.6% | $11.33M | -$2.06M | -$1.71M |
| 2029 | $11.58M | 107.6% | $12.46M | -$2.27M | -$1.71M |
| 2030 | $12.74M | 107.6% | $13.71M | -$2.50M | -$1.71M |
| 2031 | $14.02M | 107.6% | $15.08M | -$2.75M | -$1.71M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.17 | 2011-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $1.783 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $7.13 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $4.427 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $3.099 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $2.214 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$0.004 | -$0.004 | -$0.005 |
| 10.0% | -$0.003 | -$0.004 | -$0.004 |
| 11.0% | -$0.003 | -$0.003 | -$0.004 |