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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation
ACREReal EstateNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $85.35M | 1.0% | $853.5K | $19.72M | N/A |
| 2027 | $91.75M | 1.0% | $917.5K | $21.19M | $19.27M |
| 2028 | $98.63M | 1.0% | $986.3K | $22.78M | $18.83M |
| 2029 | $106.03M | 1.0% | $1.06M | $24.49M | $18.40M |
| 2030 | $113.98M | 1.0% | $1.14M | $26.33M | $17.98M |
| 2031 | $122.53M | 1.0% | $1.23M | $28.30M | $17.57M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$0.016 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$12.831 | -$12.049 | -$10.982 |
| 10.0% | -$13.623 | -$13.046 | -$12.292 |
| 11.0% | -$14.247 | -$13.808 | -$13.252 |