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The a2 Milk Company Limited
ACOPYConsumer DefensiveOTCNZ
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.90B | 10.7% | $203.22M | $197.52M | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.08B | 10.7% | $222.73M | $216.49M | $196.81M |
| 2028 | $2.28B | 10.7% | $244.11M | $237.27M | $196.09M |
| 2029 | $2.50B | 10.7% | $267.55M | $260.05M | $195.38M |
| 2030 | $2.74B | 10.7% | $293.23M | $285.01M | $194.67M |
| 2031 | $3.00B | 10.7% | $321.38M | $312.37M | $193.96M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.28 | 2025-06-30 |
| EPS growth | +21.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.747 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 30.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $22.649 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $14.063 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $9.844 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $7.032 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $2.95 | $3.232 | $3.616 |
| 10.0% | $2.665 | $2.873 | $3.145 |
| 11.0% | $2.441 | $2.599 | $2.799 |