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The a2 Milk Company Limited
ACOPFConsumer DefensiveOTCNZ
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.90B | 10.7% | $203.22M | $197.52M | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.07B | 10.7% | $221.31M | $215.10M | $195.55M |
| 2028 | $2.25B | 10.7% | $241.01M | $234.25M | $193.59M |
| 2029 | $2.45B | 10.7% | $262.45M | $255.10M | $191.66M |
| 2030 | $2.67B | 10.7% | $285.81M | $277.80M | $189.74M |
| 2031 | $2.91B | 10.7% | $311.25M | $302.52M | $187.84M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.28 | 2025-06-30 |
| EPS growth | +21.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.747 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 29.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $22.35 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $13.878 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $9.714 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $6.939 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $3.029 | $3.316 | $3.707 |
| 10.0% | $2.739 | $2.951 | $3.227 |
| 11.0% | $2.511 | $2.672 | $2.876 |