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Arch Capital Group Ltd.
ACGLFinancial ServicesNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $19.93B | 22.1% | $4.40B | $6.12B | N/A |
| 2027 | $21.20B | 22.1% | $4.69B | $6.51B | $5.92B |
| 2028 | $22.56B | 22.1% | $4.99B | $6.93B | $5.72B |
| 2029 | $24.01B | 22.1% | $5.31B | $7.37B | $5.54B |
| 2030 | $25.54B | 22.1% | $5.64B | $7.84B | $5.36B |
| 2031 | $27.18B | 22.1% | $6.01B | $8.34B | $5.18B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $11.62 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +3.2% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $13.602 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8 | P/E |
| Future price | $108.82 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $67.566 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $47.297 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $33.783 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $285.13 | $316.36 | $358.96 |
| 10.0% | $253.49 | $276.52 | $306.64 |
| 11.0% | $228.54 | $246.08 | $268.29 |