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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $264.68B | 2.1% | $5.56B | -$6.35B | N/A |
| 2027 | $287.45B | 2.1% | $6.04B | -$6.90B | -$6.27B |
| 2028 | $312.17B | 2.1% | $6.56B | -$7.49B | -$6.19B |
| 2029 | $339.01B | 2.1% | $7.12B | -$8.14B | -$6.11B |
| 2030 | $368.17B | 2.1% | $7.73B | -$8.84B | -$6.04B |
| 2031 | $399.83B | 2.1% | $8.40B | -$9.60B | -$5.96B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $9.20 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +12.2% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $16.359 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 18.4 | P/E |
| Future price | $301.00 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $186.90 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $130.83 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $93.449 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$4.631 | -$5.335 | -$6.297 |
| 10.0% | -$3.918 | -$4.438 | -$5.117 |
| 11.0% | -$3.356 | -$3.752 | -$4.253 |