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ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
ACADHealthcareNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.07B | 36.5% | $391.10M | $105.01M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.17B | 36.5% | $427.47M | $114.77M | $104.34M |
| 2028 | $1.28B | 36.5% | $467.23M | $125.45M | $103.68M |
| 2029 | $1.40B | 36.5% | $510.68M | $137.11M | $103.02M |
| 2030 | $1.53B | 36.5% | $558.17M | $149.87M | $102.36M |
| 2031 | $1.67B | 36.5% | $610.08M | $163.80M | $101.71M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.29 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $24.012 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 11.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $278.54 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $172.95 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $121.07 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $86.477 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $13.05 | $14.185 | $15.732 |
| 10.0% | $11.903 | $12.74 | $13.834 |
| 11.0% | $10.999 | $11.636 | $12.443 |