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Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
ABRReal EstateNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.21B | 12.3% | $148.95M | $395.99M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.22B | 12.3% | $149.69M | $397.97M | $361.79M |
| 2028 | $1.22B | 12.3% | $150.44M | $399.96M | $330.54M |
| 2029 | $1.23B | 12.3% | $151.20M | $401.96M | $302.00M |
| 2030 | $1.24B | 12.3% | $151.95M | $403.97M | $275.92M |
| 2031 | $1.24B | 12.3% | $152.71M | $405.99M | $252.09M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.56 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.044 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 10.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $0.44 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $0.273 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.191 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.137 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$19.051 | -$16.982 | -$14.161 |
| 10.0% | -$21.156 | -$19.631 | -$17.637 |
| 11.0% | -$22.819 | -$21.658 | -$20.187 |