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Athabasca Minerals Inc.
ABCAFBasic MaterialsOTCCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $34.58M | 35.2% | $12.17M | -$2.56M | N/A |
| 2027 | $38.04M | 35.2% | $13.39M | -$2.81M | -$2.56M |
| 2028 | $41.84M | 35.2% | $14.73M | -$3.10M | -$2.56M |
| 2029 | $46.03M | 35.2% | $16.20M | -$3.41M | -$2.56M |
| 2030 | $50.63M | 35.2% | $17.82M | -$3.75M | -$2.56M |
| 2031 | $55.69M | 35.2% | $19.60M | -$4.12M | -$2.56M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.15 | 2022-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $1.573 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $6.291 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3.906 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2.735 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.953 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$0.432 | -$0.472 | -$0.528 |
| 10.0% | -$0.391 | -$0.421 | -$0.46 |
| 11.0% | -$0.358 | -$0.381 | -$0.41 |