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Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc.
AAWWIndustrialsNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.55B | 7.8% | $354.83M | -$9.10M | N/A |
| 2027 | $5.00B | 7.8% | $390.31M | -$10.01M | -$9.10M |
| 2028 | $5.50B | 7.8% | $429.34M | -$11.01M | -$9.10M |
| 2029 | $6.05B | 7.8% | $472.28M | -$12.11M | -$9.10M |
| 2030 | $6.66B | 7.8% | $519.51M | -$13.32M | -$9.10M |
| 2031 | $7.33B | 7.8% | $571.46M | -$14.65M | -$9.10M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $10.53 | 2022-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -26.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $2.228 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $21.613 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $13.42 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $9.394 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $6.71 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$55.782 | -$56.415 | -$57.278 |
| 10.0% | -$55.142 | -$55.609 | -$56.219 |
| 11.0% | -$54.638 | -$54.994 | -$55.444 |