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Advantage Energy Ltd.
AAV.TOEnergyTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $645.83M | 8.2% | $52.96M | -$33.58M | N/A |
| 2027 | $807.94M | 8.2% | $66.25M | -$42.01M | -$38.19M |
| 2028 | $1.01B | 8.2% | $82.88M | -$52.56M | -$43.44M |
| 2029 | $1.26B | 8.2% | $103.68M | -$65.75M | -$49.40M |
| 2030 | $1.58B | 8.2% | $129.71M | -$82.25M | -$56.18M |
| 2031 | $1.98B | 8.2% | $162.26M | -$102.90M | -$63.89M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$0.31 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$3.251 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 37 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$120.27 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$74.679 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$52.275 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$37.34 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -CA$10.358 | -CA$11.122 | -CA$12.164 |
| 10.0% | -CA$9.592 | -CA$10.156 | -CA$10.893 |
| 11.0% | -CA$8.99 | -CA$9.419 | -CA$9.963 |