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American Airlines Group Inc.
AALIndustrialsNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $54.63B | 1.0% | $546.33M | -$655.60M | N/A |
| 2027 | $59.66B | 1.0% | $596.59M | -$715.91M | -$650.83M |
| 2028 | $65.15B | 1.0% | $651.48M | -$781.77M | -$646.09M |
| 2029 | $71.14B | 1.0% | $711.41M | -$853.70M | -$641.40M |
| 2030 | $77.69B | 1.0% | $776.87M | -$932.24M | -$636.73M |
| 2031 | $84.83B | 1.0% | $848.34M | -$1.02B | -$632.10M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.17 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.013 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 91.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $1.206 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $0.749 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.524 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.374 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$55.53 | -$57.503 | -$60.192 |
| 10.0% | -$53.537 | -$54.991 | -$56.893 |
| 11.0% | -$51.966 | -$53.073 | -$54.475 |