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Shopify Inc.
0VHA.LTechnologyLSECA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $11.76B | 10.7% | $1.26B | $2.05B | N/A |
| 2027 | $13.76B | 10.7% | $1.47B | $2.39B | $2.18B |
| 2028 | $16.10B | 10.7% | $1.72B | $2.80B | $2.31B |
| 2029 | $18.83B | 10.7% | $2.02B | $3.28B | $2.46B |
| 2030 | $22.03B | 10.7% | $2.36B | $3.83B | $2.62B |
| 2031 | $25.78B | 10.7% | $2.76B | $4.49B | $2.79B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.96 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -35.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.106 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 168.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $17.876 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $11.10 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $7.77 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $5.55 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $30.08 | $33.485 | $38.129 |
| 10.0% | $26.656 | $29.167 | $32.45 |
| 11.0% | $23.96 | $25.871 | $28.293 |