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Murphy Oil Corporation
0K3S.LEnergyLSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.69B | 3.9% | $104.90M | $199.05M | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.69B | 3.9% | $104.90M | $199.05M | $180.95M |
| 2028 | $2.69B | 3.9% | $104.90M | $199.05M | $164.50M |
| 2029 | $2.69B | 3.9% | $104.90M | $199.05M | $149.55M |
| 2030 | $2.69B | 3.9% | $104.90M | $199.05M | $135.95M |
| 2031 | $2.69B | 3.9% | $104.90M | $199.05M | $123.59M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.72 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.056 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 43 | P/E |
| Future price | $2.407 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1.495 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1.046 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.747 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $1.406 | $3.904 | $7.31 |
| 10.0% | -$1.139 | $0.703 | $3.111 |
| 11.0% | -$3.148 | -$1.746 | $0.031 |