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Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
0HGV.LTechnologyLSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $455.71M | 1.0% | $4.56M | -$227.86M | N/A |
| 2027 | $638.00M | 1.0% | $6.38M | -$319.00M | -$290.00M |
| 2028 | $893.20M | 1.0% | $8.93M | -$446.60M | -$369.09M |
| 2029 | $1.25B | 1.0% | $12.50M | -$625.24M | -$469.75M |
| 2030 | $1.75B | 1.0% | $17.51M | -$875.34M | -$597.87M |
| 2031 | $2.45B | 1.0% | $24.51M | -$1.23B | -$760.92M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$0.64 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$1,131.969 | -$1,282.11 | -$1,486.848 |
| 10.0% | -$982.493 | -$1,093.188 | -$1,237.944 |
| 11.0% | -$865.061 | -$949.346 | -$1,056.106 |