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XPS Pensions Group plc
XPS.LConsumer CyclicalLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £231.78M | 13.1% | £30.36M | £33.61M | N/A |
| 2027 | £248.94M | 13.1% | £32.61M | £36.10M | £32.81M |
| 2028 | £267.36M | 13.1% | £35.02M | £38.77M | £32.04M |
| 2029 | £287.14M | 13.1% | £37.62M | £41.64M | £31.28M |
| 2030 | £308.39M | 13.1% | £40.40M | £44.72M | £30.54M |
| 2031 | £331.21M | 13.1% | £43.39M | £48.03M | £29.82M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.14 | 2025-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.011 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 25.5 | P/E |
| Future price | £0.278 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £0.172 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £0.121 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £0.086 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £211.46 | £239.36 | £277.40 |
| 10.0% | £183.23 | £203.80 | £230.69 |
| 11.0% | £160.96 | £176.62 | £196.46 |