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Tharisa plc
THS.LBasic MaterialsLSECY
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £670.22M | 11.8% | £79.09M | -£26.81M | N/A |
| 2027 | £726.52M | 11.8% | £85.73M | -£29.06M | -£26.42M |
| 2028 | £787.55M | 11.8% | £92.93M | -£31.50M | -£26.03M |
| 2029 | £853.70M | 11.8% | £100.74M | -£34.15M | -£25.66M |
| 2030 | £925.41M | 11.8% | £109.20M | -£37.02M | -£25.28M |
| 2031 | £1.00B | 11.8% | £118.37M | -£40.13M | -£24.92M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.26 | 2025-09-30 |
| EPS growth | -3.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.215 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 5.4 | P/E |
| Future price | £1.163 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £0.722 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £0.505 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £0.361 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -£119.419 | -£136.12 | -£158.894 |
| 10.0% | -£102.531 | -£114.845 | -£130.947 |
| 11.0% | -£89.216 | -£98.592 | -£110.467 |