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Persimmon Plc
PSN.LConsumer CyclicalLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £3.75B | 7.6% | £285.10M | -£11.25M | N/A |
| 2027 | £4.05B | 7.6% | £307.62M | -£12.14M | -£11.04M |
| 2028 | £4.37B | 7.6% | £331.92M | -£13.10M | -£10.83M |
| 2029 | £4.71B | 7.6% | £358.15M | -£14.14M | -£10.62M |
| 2030 | £5.08B | 7.6% | £386.44M | -£15.25M | -£10.42M |
| 2031 | £5.49B | 7.6% | £416.97M | -£16.46M | -£10.22M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.88 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +6.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £1.178 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 15.2 | P/E |
| Future price | £17.90 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £11.115 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £7.78 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £5.557 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -£23.749 | -£29.478 | -£37.289 |
| 10.0% | -£17.955 | -£22.178 | -£27.701 |
| 11.0% | -£13.385 | -£16.601 | -£20.675 |