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Lancashire Holdings Limited
LRE.LFinancial ServicesLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £2.13B | 14.1% | £300.25M | £464.22M | N/A |
| 2027 | £2.98B | 14.1% | £420.36M | £649.91M | £590.83M |
| 2028 | £4.17B | 14.1% | £588.50M | £909.88M | £751.96M |
| 2029 | £5.84B | 14.1% | £823.90M | £1.27B | £957.04M |
| 2030 | £8.18B | 14.1% | £1.15B | £1.78B | £1.22B |
| 2031 | £11.45B | 14.1% | £1.61B | £2.50B | £1.55B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £1.20 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -7.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.813 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 7 | P/E |
| Future price | £5.688 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £3.532 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £2.472 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £1.766 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £7,896.86 | £8,947.26 | £10,379.62 |
| 10.0% | £6,851.12 | £7,625.55 | £8,638.27 |
| 11.0% | £6,029.56 | £6,619.22 | £7,366.12 |