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J D Wetherspoon plc
JDW.LConsumer CyclicalLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £2.13B | 3.2% | £68.08M | £99.99M | N/A |
| 2027 | £2.21B | 3.2% | £70.80M | £103.99M | £94.54M |
| 2028 | £2.30B | 3.2% | £73.64M | £108.15M | £89.38M |
| 2029 | £2.39B | 3.2% | £76.58M | £112.48M | £84.51M |
| 2030 | £2.49B | 3.2% | £79.64M | £116.98M | £79.90M |
| 2031 | £2.59B | 3.2% | £82.83M | £121.66M | £75.54M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.57 | 2025-07-27 |
| EPS growth | +46.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £3.82 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 13.4 | P/E |
| Future price | £51.192 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £31.786 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £22.25 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £15.893 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £246.39 | £369.42 | £537.18 |
| 10.0% | £121.54 | £212.25 | £330.86 |
| 11.0% | £23.035 | £92.099 | £179.58 |