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Halfords Group plc
HFD.LConsumer CyclicalLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £1.72B | 1.0% | £17.15M | £140.65M | N/A |
| 2027 | £1.76B | 1.0% | £17.65M | £144.73M | £131.57M |
| 2028 | £1.82B | 1.0% | £18.16M | £148.92M | £123.08M |
| 2029 | £1.87B | 1.0% | £18.69M | £153.24M | £115.13M |
| 2030 | £1.92B | 1.0% | £19.23M | £157.68M | £107.70M |
| 2031 | £1.98B | 1.0% | £19.79M | £162.26M | £100.75M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -£0.15 | 2025-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £1,129.21 | £1,280.53 | £1,486.88 |
| 10.0% | £975.50 | £1,087.07 | £1,232.96 |
| 11.0% | £854.19 | £939.14 | £1,046.74 |