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Headlam Group plc
HEAD.LConsumer CyclicalLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £498.70M | 1.0% | £4.99M | -£49.37M | N/A |
| 2027 | £527.62M | 1.0% | £5.28M | -£52.23M | -£47.49M |
| 2028 | £558.23M | 1.0% | £5.58M | -£55.26M | -£45.67M |
| 2029 | £590.60M | 1.0% | £5.91M | -£58.47M | -£43.93M |
| 2030 | £624.86M | 1.0% | £6.25M | -£61.86M | -£42.25M |
| 2031 | £661.10M | 1.0% | £6.61M | -£65.45M | -£40.64M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -£1.02 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -£702.316 | -£776.434 | -£877.504 |
| 10.0% | -£627.217 | -£681.863 | -£753.322 |
| 11.0% | -£567.98 | -£609.587 | -£662.29 |