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MJ Gleeson plc
GLE.LConsumer CyclicalLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £365.82M | 4.3% | £15.73M | -£5.85M | N/A |
| 2027 | £438.25M | 4.3% | £18.84M | -£7.01M | -£6.37M |
| 2028 | £525.02M | 4.3% | £22.58M | -£8.40M | -£6.94M |
| 2029 | £628.98M | 4.3% | £27.05M | -£10.06M | -£7.56M |
| 2030 | £753.51M | 4.3% | £32.40M | -£12.06M | -£8.23M |
| 2031 | £902.71M | 4.3% | £38.82M | -£14.44M | -£8.97M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.27 | 2025-06-30 |
| EPS growth | -18.2% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.099 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.6 | P/E |
| Future price | £1.444 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £0.896 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £0.628 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £0.448 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -£168.938 | -£190.167 | -£219.117 |
| 10.0% | -£147.625 | -£163.277 | -£183.745 |
| 11.0% | -£130.849 | -£142.766 | -£157.862 |