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Ferguson plc
FERG.LIndustrialsLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £30.76B | 6.0% | £1.85B | £1.60B | N/A |
| 2027 | £30.95B | 6.0% | £1.86B | £1.61B | £1.46B |
| 2028 | £31.13B | 6.0% | £1.87B | £1.62B | £1.34B |
| 2029 | £31.32B | 6.0% | £1.88B | £1.63B | £1.22B |
| 2030 | £31.51B | 6.0% | £1.89B | £1.64B | £1.12B |
| 2031 | £31.70B | 6.0% | £1.90B | £1.65B | £1.02B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £9.32 | 2025-07-31 |
| EPS growth | +9.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £14.406 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 24 | P/E |
| Future price | £345.74 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £214.68 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £150.27 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £107.34 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £5,914.96 | £6,827.00 | £8,070.68 |
| 10.0% | £4,986.59 | £5,659.02 | £6,538.34 |
| 11.0% | £4,253.53 | £4,765.51 | £5,414.03 |