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Empiric Student Property plc
ESP.LReal EstateLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £84.20M | 40.9% | £34.44M | £42.94M | N/A |
| 2027 | £88.24M | 40.9% | £36.09M | £45.00M | £40.91M |
| 2028 | £92.48M | 40.9% | £37.82M | £47.16M | £38.98M |
| 2029 | £96.92M | 40.9% | £39.64M | £49.43M | £37.14M |
| 2030 | £101.57M | 40.9% | £41.54M | £51.80M | £35.38M |
| 2031 | £106.44M | 40.9% | £43.54M | £54.29M | £33.71M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.055 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -36.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £0.006 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.6 | P/E |
| Future price | £0.081 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £0.05 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £0.035 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £0.025 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | £59.164 | £71.69 | £88.771 |
| 10.0% | £46.462 | £55.697 | £67.774 |
| 11.0% | £36.441 | £43.473 | £52.379 |